Probability

If Mom is doing the homeschooling, and Declan is working on calculating probabilities, what is the probability that after 2 hours Declan retreats to his bed and pulls the covers over his head? Is it higher or lower than the probability that Mom orders a gin before dinner? Does interrupting the work on probability to determine whether Aidan correctly calculated whether Maggie, walking at 70 meters per minute, will pass Ming, walking at4o meters per minute, on their way to school in the morning, increase the likelihood that Mom will order two gins before dinner?